About inexpediency of approximationof process of birth rate by Poisson flows at long-term forecasting.
The systems of mass service with unlimited number of devices with incoming non-stationaryPoisson flow and stochastic flow governed by Markov chain are investigated. The average valuesm(t) of number of devices in these systems are found. At a condition of equality of average valuesof number of devices borrowed in these systems the intensity (t) is received: Ґл(t) = bN exp{(b − Ґм)t} .Essential distinction of other characteristics of these systems of mass service is shown. Thusinexpediency of approximation of process of birth rate by Poisson flows at long-term forecastingis shown.
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Keywords
система массового обслуживания, пуассоновский поток, цепь Маркова, рождаемость, system of mass service, Poisson flow, Markov chain, birth rateAuthors
| Name | Organization | |
| Nazarov Anatoly A. | Tomsk State University | nazarov@fpmk.tsu.ru |
| Nosova Maria G. | Tomsk State University | nosova_mg@mail.ru |
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