Ruin probability of an insurance company under double stochastic insurance premium and insurance payment currents
The aim of this paper is to generalize the classical model of an insurance company for thesituation when the intensity of the insurance premiums flow (t) is the homogeneous Markovchain with continuous time, the states (t) =i (i= 1,m) and the matrix of infinitesimal characteristics =[i j], which has the rank m −1 . Insurance premiums are independent identicallydistributed with the distribution density ϕ(x) , the mean M{x} =a and the second moment2M{x}=a2 . Analogously the insurance payments flow (t) is the homogeneous Markovchain with continuous time, the states (t) =i (i= 1,n) and the matrix of infinitesimal characteristics = [i j ] , which has the range n −1 . Insurance payments are independent identicallydistributed with the distribution density (x), the mean M{x} =b and the second moment2M{x}=b2 . Let be the loading of insurance premium, 0 and 0 be the average intensitiesof premiums' and payments' flows correspondingly. Then 0a= (1+)0b.Let Gi j(s) be the ruin probability of an insurance company if at the beginning moment itscapital is s and the intensities quantities are i and j correspondingly. It is shown, that for << 1 ⎨− ⎬= ⎩ ⎭ + + − ϕwhere( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1 1 1 10 2 0 22 21 0 0 0 01 1 1 1,2m m n nk k kj j k k kj jk j k jA a b a R b Q− − − −= = = = += − − − − − − A2= 0b ,i are the final distribution of the premiums' intensity quantity, i are the final distribution ofthe payments' intensity quantity, the matrixes1( ) 1( ) R ij i,j 1,m 1,Q ij i,j 1,n 1 − − = ⎡⎣ ⎤⎦ = − = ⎡⎣ ⎤⎦ = − .
Keywords
loading of insurance premium, double stochastic flow, probability of ultimate ruin, нагрузка страховой премии, дважды стохастический поток, вероятность разоренияAuthors
Name | Organization | |
Livshits Klimentiy I. | National Research Tomsk State University | kim47@mail.ru |
Bublic Yana S. | Anzhero-Sudzhensk branch of Kemerovo State University | yana@asf.ru |
References
