To the question of assessment of the consequences of disasters of various genesis in the system “Nature - Society - Man" | Geosphere Research. 2021. № 3. DOI: 10.17223/25421379/20/8

HomeIssuesTo the question of assessment of the consequences of disasters of various genesis in the system “Nature - Society - Man" | Geosphere Research. 2021. № 3. DOI: 10.17223/25421379/20/8

To the question of assessment of the consequences of disasters of various genesis in the system “Nature - Society - Man"

Based on the presented data, the evolution of catastrophes of various genesis in the nature-society-man system is considered. The balance of catastrophes of various genesis and the limits of the existence of the system “nature - society - man” are considered. The anthropogenic load affecting nature and society, taking into account the power load of catastrophes, should not exceed 70 kW/km2. If the anthropogenic load, taking into account the power of catastrophes of various genesis, exceeds 70 kW/km2, respectively, the energy-ecological balance of catastrophes is violated and the path of degradation and biosphere instability of nature and society is maintained. Sustainable development conditions are maintained if the anthropogenic load affecting nature and society, taking into account the power load of catastrophes, does not exceed 70 kW/km2. A methodology for assessing disasters of various genesis based on basis indicators of sustainable development is proposed. Based on the presented methodology, it becomes possible to conduct a comprehensive assessment of the consequences of disasters of various genesis in the territory of any region. This makes it possible to establish the degree of influence of the consequences of disasters on the sustainability of the development of the regional environmental social and natural environment, including its economy, ecology, and social environment. Moreover, the sustainability of natural and socio-economic systems is determined by the scale and consequences of disasters, leading either to complete or partial degradation of territories. Sustainable development of territories is determined by the requirement of non-decreasing and continuous in time reduction of the power of disasters. Formalization of the consequences of disasters makes it possible to increase the effectiveness of managing sustainable development of territories in the face of the increasing impact of disasters of various genesis.

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Keywords

disasters, sustainable development, instability of the biosphere, anthropogenic load

Authors

NameOrganizationE-mail
Shamaeva Ekaterina F.Dubna State University; Institute of SocioEconomic Population Problems of the Federal Research Sociological Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciencesshamef-kate@yandex.ru
Knaub Roman V.National Research Tomsk State Universityknaybrv@mail.ru
Всего: 2

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To the question of assessment of the consequences of disasters of various genesis in the system “Nature - Society - Man

To the question of assessment of the consequences of disasters of various genesis in the system “Nature - Society - Man" | Geosphere Research. 2021. № 3. DOI: 10.17223/25421379/20/8

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