American strategy "Afghan conflict" solution: theory, realization, preliminary results

International Security Assistance Force in the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan was formed on the initiative of the United States. Staying for 13 years in the country they have not been able to stabilize the situation and ensure the establishment of the effective national government bodies and law enforcement agencies. Religious-terrorist activities of international extremist organizations and radical movements tend to increase not only in Afghanistan but also in the neighboring countries. Serious drug threat that affects primarily the interests of the national security of neighboring and regional states continues to come from Afghan territory. Withdrawal of the American military contingent and its allies from the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan has started in 2011. It is considered to be completed by the end of 2014. The US government has already begun to develop a new format of the mission for Afghanistan. Simultaneously, the United States have initiated negotiations with the Afghan government on the legal registration of its own military presence for the period from 2015 to 2024 through the conclusion of bilateral agreements. In these circumstances the issue of the compliance of national interests of the USA is becoming more and more important. Using "Afghan conflict" as a cover Washington applies the entire range of technologies of political influence that can be allocated into two main groups: the "direct action" methods and "indirect effects" technologies. From May to August 2014 presidential elections in Afghanistan were held under the control of the Americans. Loyal to the White House official came to power in Afghanistan. Immediately after the elections the "Agreement on Security between the United States and Afghanistan" was signed. According to the document, the US military may remain on Afghan soil for another ten years. All the US military personnel will be deployed in nine military bases, with a total capacity of up to 30 thousand men each. Americans reserve the right to carry out military operations if necessary, without the consent of the Afghan side. Further situation in Afghanistan in the near future will have a direct impact on regional and global security. Existing and potential threats emanating from Afghanistan primarily affect the interests of neighboring countries including Russia, China and India. At the same time it is not just about the activities of terrorist groups but also about enduring of the US and its allies military presence in Afghanistan in the long-term perspective.

Keywords

Authors

References