Memories of lost future

Seizure of the concept of "historical reality" from the circulation, denial of the image of the time of history as centralized one-way process, the loss of "social" in the postmodern tradition by them has led to the transformation of the future to the periphery of historical consciousness. The future loses its ontological essence, independence, and, in the best case, is considered as part of the present or the semblance of the past. The arguments in favor of the revision of ideas about the future were as follows: first, a protest against the utopism that has spread in the XX century, claims to truth and is a breeding ground for the ideology and totalitarianism. Secondly, the statement that the future can only repeat the past, while the past appears only as a set of fragments. Thirdly, the inability of the modernists to foresee random and unexpected events. Fourth, the specific of social and human sciences, including history, consists in the fact that knowledge of the future change reality itself. Fifth, the insolvency of designing: projects claim the rigid predetermination of the future and motion to it. But this rigidity leads to the moral obsolescence of the project, it throws him back and he begins to be behind time. The researchers, despite the criticism of modernist ideas about the future, do not leave attempts of its "detect", put forward various hypotheses, are searching for methods of its cognition. The Future of time of history in the framework of postmodern conception of history appears: 1. As forecast, primarily short-term, as long-term forecasting should include retrospective information, which is not recognized as valid. It involves large amount of information from sources unrelated (rhizomatous). Modern foreign and domestic researchers have questioned not only in long-term forecasting, and the ability to design in history. With the help of the project, as opposed to the forecast and prediction, attempts are being made deliberate change the reality, and even her modeling. But the project can't take into account the diversity of events, it is fixed and morally outdated even before realization and is often behind the times. 2. As a part of the present, the similarity of the past, as "know" about it can only be based on a current situation or the fragments of the past. 3. As desired future, referring only to the requirements and problems of contemporary society. Such image of the future deprives of reality, because it is a convenient substitute for a real future. 4. As "other" unknowable future, manifested only when "falls down" on us, takes hold of us. 5. As the final, which "highlights", imparts meaning, clarifies the meaning of the events or facilities of present. In this case, it is possible only know what exists in the present way or another be completed and find conditions of it again in the same present. 6. As a set of prospects of manipulation of the various possibilities that may arise in the future. Thus, the future of the historical time from meaningful, predictable in general terms is transformed into a set of features of its detection, some trends.

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