Simulation of current tendencies in Russian labor market

The article describes the creation and analysis of agent-based model, which reflects the current position of the Russian labor market. The aim is to create a model which describes the current situation in the labor market and which is able to become a base for modeling the situation course of events. Agent-based models is a relatively new trend in the modeling of social-economic systems. They base on the idea that person, company and the household are economic agents with their characteristics and exigencies. The reason to choose such topic is the high relevance of the research of the current Russian labor market position and possible trends in this market. Primarily, interest in such studies is subjected to the crisis in the Russian economy, which influence on the real economy sector. The scientific novelty of this work is stated in the use of agent-based modeling method in relation to the current situation on the Russian labor market. The main aspect of this approach is the "top down" simulation, the economic position of individual agents formed in the overall picture, which can be observed in the labor market. Two alternative scenarios are proposed besides current situation modeling. The first suggests the employment of the unemployed in community services. The second scenario supposes the community services and the creation of new workspaces providing permanent employment by the state. Construction of alternative scenarios enabled to display graphically the impact of government support measures on the level of employment. The probable amount of financial package of community services is estimated. The result of the research is the implication for a high burden on the budget, which may be caused by a policy of community services. The model of the labor market was obtained as a result, which may be suitable for economic profile of students use, as well as for research applied.

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