The impact of the People's Bank of China monetary policy on the dynamics of the national financial market
The modern central bank plays a crucial role in the economy of any country, utilizing its own set of monetary policy tools, determined by the officially adopted operational framework. The People's Bank of China, unlike most central banks around the world, adheres to a monetary targeting regime and a managed exchange rate regime. The use of a wide range of monetary policy instruments by the People's Bank of China, along with a flexible approach to developing strategies for influencing the national financial market and the real sector of the economy, indicates the effectiveness of its operations. The aim of this study was to determine the extent of the impact of monetary policy on the dynamics of various segments of China's financial market. The selection of parameters for analysis was based on the key points emphasized in the official reports of the People's Bank of China. The data sources were the People's Bank of China, the National Bureau of Statistics of China, and some other official sources. The research method involved modelling with the help of the vector autoregressions and constructing impulse response functions for indicators of individual financial market segments in response to shocks from changes in monetary policy instruments. The results provided empirical evidence of the stronger influence of the People's Bank of China on the dynamics of the financial market using short-term and mid-term interest rates. The authors declare no conflicts of interests.
Keywords
monetary policy,
central bank,
People's Bank of China,
segments of financial marketAuthors
| Bekareva Svetlana V. | Novosibirsk State University | s.bekareva@g.nsu.ru |
| Ren Jie | Novosibirsk State University | t.zhen@g.nsu.ru |
Всего: 2
References
Бекарева С.В., Мельтенисова Е.Н., Шиховцова Е.А., Сун Юйин. Влияние монетарной политики Народного банка Китая на экономическое развитие страна: // Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Экономика. 2019. Т. 35, вып. 2. С. 228-231. doi: 10.21638/spbu05.2019.203.
Мозиас П.М. Трансмиссионный механизм денежной политики в Китае // Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Сер. 9: Востоковедение и африканистика. 2022. № 4. С. 121-148. 2019. 6. № 33(2). C. 16-20.
Любао Д., Юньхуа Ч. Влияние денежно-кредитной политики на фондовый рынок - оценка на основе VAR-моделирования // Журнал Цзилиньского института науки и техники (издание по общественным наукам). 2019. № 33 (2). C. 16-20. (На китайском языке). 4. 2019 (7). C. 51-52.
Инци Л. Влияние денежно-кредитной политики на фондовый рынок - эмпирический анализ на основе VAR-модели // Бюджетные финансы. Обзор экономики и торговли Китая. 2019. № 7. C. 51-52. (На китайском языке).
Xu Y., Ji X., Zhan S., Zhan M. How do the dual effects of financial development change the transmission of monetary policy? - Evidence from China // North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 2023. № 68. P. 101952. doi: 0.1016/j.najef.2023.101952.
Anghel D.G., Caraiani P. Monetary policy shocks and the high-frequency network connectedness of stock markets // International Review of Economics and Finance. 2024. № 96. P. 103558. doi: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103558.
Sharif T., Bouteska A., Abedin M.Z., Cotturone S. An enquiry into the monetary policy and stock market shocks in the US // International Review of Economics and Finance. 2025. № 98. P. 103925. doi: 10.1016/j.iref.2025.103925.
Arin K.P., Kaplan S.K., Polyzos E., Spagnolo N. Stock market responses to monetary policy shocks: Firm-level evidence // Journal of Macroeconomics. 2025. № 83. P. 103646. doi: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2024.103646.
Iyke B.N., Maheepala M.M.J.D. Conventional monetary policy, COVID-19, and stock markets in emerging economies // Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 2022. № 76. P. 101883. doi: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101883.
Kartal M.T., Ertugrul H.M., Ulussever T. The impacts of foreign portfolio flows and monetary policy responses on stock markets by considering COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Turkey // Borsa_Istanbul Review. 2022. № 22-1. P. 12e19. URL: http://www.else-vier.com/journals/borsa-istanbul-review/2214-8450.
Cobbinah B.B., Wen Y., Sarpong F.A. Navigating Ghana’s economic waters: Exploring the impact of Fiscal and Monetary policies on stock market performance // Heliyon. 2024. № 10. P. e38761. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e38761.
Lawal A.I., Somoye R.O., Babajide A.A., Nwanji T.I. The effect of fiscal and monetary policies interaction on stock market performance: Evidence from Nigeria // Future Business Journal. 2018. № 4. P. 16-33. doi: 10.1016/j.fbj.2017.11.004.
Gurkaynak R.S., Kara A.H., Kisacikoglu B., Lee S.S. Monetary policy surprises and exchange rate behavior // Journal of International Economics. 2021. № 130. P. 103443. doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2021.103443.
Carvalho A., Azevedo J.V., Ribeiro P.P. Permanent and temporary monetary policy shocks and the dynamics of exchange rates // Journal of International Economics. 2024. № 147. P. 103871. doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103871.
Belke A., Beckmann J. Monetary policy and stock prices - Cross-country evidence from cointegrated VAR models // Journal of Banking & Finance. 2015. Vol. 54. P. 254-265. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.12.004.